Equity, as mentioned before, is your winning chance in percent. The rule of four and two is a simple way to calculate the equity of your hand. It’s not exact, but it’s close enough
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It’s one of the first rules players learn and if you’re not familiar with it yet you should memorize it quickly.
Applies on the flop. If you have a flush draw that means there are nine cards in the deck that give you the winning hand.
Multiply the number of your outs by 4 and the result is your approximate equity – 36%
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Rule of Two
Applies on the turn. If the turn card hasn’t helped your flush draw you can now calculate your equity by multiplying the number of your outs by 2 and add 2.
Your chances to win are now approximately 20%.
One final note: These numbers vary slightly depending on what cards the opponent has. If you've played poker live or online for any stretch of time - even a very, very short amount of time - you've seen hands play out you never thought possible.
Runner-runner flush draws. Runner-runner straight draws. One-outers on the river to crush your massive favorite.
But how often do these "long-shots" really come in? And how often should we expect it
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Below we've compiled a comprehensive list of unusual long-shot odds for Texas Hold'em poker – numbers and percentages to impress (or possibly annoy) your fellow players at the table.
And, importantly, to unmask ruthless exaggerators who claim the most unlikely things happened to them just the other day.
If the opponent has a set, for example, some of the flush outs will give him a full house.
