Odds for Making Quads in Poker

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Age: 2020
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Set over set situations are already very uncommon. But what about some truly long-shot scenarios? What about three players all flopping a set at the same time w88thais ?
The math shows this scenario is extremely unlikely. At a full-ring table you'll only see that every 166k hands. With only three players at the table, this number increases to once every 14 million hands. A true long-shot!
Important Set Over Set Odds
Scenario Probability Odds
If you have a pair, you hit a set (trips) on the flop 11.7551% 1:8

Being dealt a pair and flopping a set 0.6915% 1:144
If two players have pair, both flop a set 1.0176% 1:97
Heads-up both players are dealt a pair and flop a set 0.0024% 1:42,305 w88 mobile
Two players at a 6-max-table are dealt a pair and both flop a set 0.0355% 1:2,819
Two players at a full ring table are dealt a pair and both flop a set 0.0851% 1:1,174
Three players at a 3-max-table are dealt and pair and all three flop a set 0.0000% 1:13,960,821
Three players at a 6-max-table are dealt and pair and all three flop a set 0.0001% 1:698,040
Three players at a full ring table are dealt and pair and all three flop a set 0.0006% 1:166,199
How Often Do You Hit Quads?
While sets are great hands, let’s now look at even better poker hands: quads. Only bested by straight flushes, quads are the second-best possible holding in Texas Hold’em and occur only very infrequently.
Quads over Quads: Does it Happen?
Set over set is already quite unlikely but what about one step further? What are the odds of two players hitting quads when both start out with a pocket pair w88 line ?
Well, the odds for that are pretty slim: With two players holding a pocket pair both will hit quads by the river roughly once every 39,000 attempts.
Factoring in the odds of having two players being dealt pocket pairs before the flop, you’ll see such a scenario at a full-ring table only once every 313k hands – for most live poker players, this already is a once-in-a-lifetime scenario.
Well, if you hold a pocket pair and go all the way with it, you’ll hit a set by the river once every 123 attempts – infrequently, but still more likely than being dealt aces before the flop.
Posted 10 Jan 2020

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