In the session of technical analysis, I‘ve shared my opinions on the
crossovers and held that the 50/200 crossover is not the best-performing
moving average (keep you guessing). Thus, I won’t adopt the death cross
to estimate how DXY performs in the future market.
DXY came under downside pressure in the short run because of the
bullish trend in U.S. stock markets rather than the rationales proposed
by Roach, nor the death cross occurred. In addition, such divergence
between DXY and U.S. stock markets will be dominant over the short term,
with its references among the three U.S. stock indices lie on the DJIA
and the S&P 500 rather than the Nasdaq composite index. Thus, it is
necessary to analyze the continuing effect of the two indices on DXY in
the short term. But in the long run, the main factors affecting DXY will
remain to be traditional basic ones such as politics, economics and
monetary policies.
When you think the price of a currency is about to rise, then you should buy before the rise. After the rise takes effect, you sell at a higher price. This means that the difference will be the profit that you make. The profit is usually the cost of the transaction minus the cost that was originally when you were purchasing the euros.
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