The Difficulty of Squaring Up Garrett Ri

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sherry2018love

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I think you could say 2014 was the year Garrett Richards started making sense. He was supposed to strike a lot of guys out. He was supposed to pitch just like a staff No. 1. He was said to be awesome, and last year, he finally became awesome, overtaking an Angels rotation using the more established arms in decline. Richards hasnt answered the questions, and the significant injury last August raised a new one, but at this point, it seems like Richards is exactly what he was supposed to be. And hes maybe even more remarkable than you thought.
Its easy to see the large gain in strikeouts. Its easy to see the drop in FIP and xFIP. Its easy to understand the increase in whiffs. Here now are last years top 5 qualified pitchers in slugging percentage against:
Garrett Richards, .261 SLGClayton Kershaw, .289Felix Hernandez, .303Chris Sale, .305Adam Wainwright, .310The belief is that Kershaw had probably the most insane season. And Kershaw did po se s the most insane season, overall. This really is looking at only one thing. But Richards were built with a big edge in slugging, and that he had that edge while pitching in the more hitter-friendly league. The likely reason? Its Damien Wilson Jersey the intuitive reason.
Whats the one thing weve always known about Garrett Richards? He throws really hard. And, actually, this past year he threw even harder than he had in the majors previously. That velocity is a huge reason people always expected more strikeouts. Granted, the reality of strikeout generation is more complicated than that, but theres no denying the strikeouts did eventually come.
Anyway, this isnt about whiffs. What comes to mind when you look at a big fastball? Late swings, probably. Mi sed swings, maybe, but if anything, mi sed and late swings. You anticipate that hitters could be behind the pitch. Le s time to react, right? It just Davon Coleman Jersey is sensible.
And now consider balls hit in mid-air, and which are usually probably the most dangerous. Generally speaking, the balls in mid-air you dont wish to allow are the pulled ones. The pulled ones are the type hit with the most bat speed, typically, and the pulled ones can rocket from or higher the wall. Theres definitely such thing being an opposite-field homer, but fewer hitters are able to do that sort of damage. All else being equal, like a pitcher, youd rather allow a pushed fly ball than a pulled one.
Im dealing with this quickly, only since i dont wish to slow your entire day down. Dealing with the purpose: I examined 2014 pulled-air-ball rate. I considered only fly balls and line drives, and I set no le s than 100 allowed. Instead of splitting the area in thirds, I simply split the area in halves, so a ball hit in the air was either pulled or it wasn't, depending on where it had been in accordance with the line through second base and center field.
The average pitcher within the sample allowed 49% of his fly balls or line drives to be pulled. The standard deviation was right around 5%. Garrett Richards carried out with the cheapest rate, at 34%, or 2.8 standard deviations in the mean. The next-lowest rate for any full-season starter was 40%. The purpose being: this past year, Richards was extremely hard to square up. If batters managed to put the ball in the air, they usually did so to another 1 / 2 of the field, and those are simply le Kyle Wilber Jersey s-dangerous balls in play, most of the time. Sometimes, they go out. Usually, they do not.
For Richards, this was an improvement, in the previous seasons 47%. His improvement was the second-biggest in baseball, behind only Ryan Vogelsongs drop of 15 percentage points. Richards saw gains against righties, and that he saw gains against lefties. A table of pertinent information, combining 2011 and 2012 because of small sample sizes:
SeasonOverall Pull%RHB Pull%LHB Pull%2011/1250%56%44%201347%51%43%201434%34%34%Last season, righties and lefties finished with exactly the same rate. Previously, lefties had pulled more air balls, and righties had pulled even more air balls. So this past year against Richards, lefties slugged .262. And also the righties? The righties slugged .260. The hits and power largely disappeared.
From Baseball Savant, you can look at this visually. Air balls hit by righties against Richards:
And those hit by lefties:
Richards pitches were difficult to turn around. Youd expect them to be a challenge to turn around. He didnt completely change as a pitcher hes always had live stuff but he simultaneously boosted his velocity while improving his command, using the velocity boost giving hitters reduced timing, along with the command improvement keeping pitches in far safer places. Richards was able to move about his fastballs, and he more consistently kept his breaking balls down, so he became that much tougher to fight with authority. Lefties had to deal with a sinker at 97, running away. Righties had to deal with a fastball at 97, with cutting action. The slider was obtainable in any count.
Why was Richards so desperately to punish? How did he finish having a HR/FB rate of 3.9%? Its all the stuff youd gue s he throws very hard, and last season he had a much better idea than ever of where Maliek Collins Jersey his pitches were going. Now, the year-to-year correlation with this isnt incredibly strong, initially. It is operational, however, you have to expect regre sion at the extremes, on and on forward, Richards will probably allow more than one-in-three air balls to be pulled. But based on last years improvements, Id rely on him to stay much better than average in this regard, which will help to create up for any very opposite Jered Weaver. Last season, Garrett Richards started to make sense. Hes become among the easiest pitchers in baseball to describe. Garrett Richards throws great stuff. It does what youd think great stuff would do.
Posted 18 Oct 2017

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Posted 07 Nov 2017

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Posted 11 May 2018

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