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2019John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY SportsHouston Texans NewsYou might recognize
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Max Scharping Houston Texans Jersey , tame Tigers, 5-1 (Crawfish Boxes) It’s getting harder to gain an edge in daily fantasy football with more research tools and
advanced statistics.Similar research processes lead many daily players to the
same plays each given week.Last week, DailyRoto’s Colin Drew won more than
$250,000 using a lineup optimizer to identify pivots — key spots to use players
who won’t be widely owned in large tournaments. Pivoting away from popular
players and toward alternatives in a similar price range lets fantasy owners
differentiate their lineups, distinctions that become important when trying to
break away from the pack in large tournament fields.Drew’s highest scoring
lineup featured Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers at just 3 percent ownership,
stacked with Packers wideouts Davante Adams and Marquez Valdes-Scantling. This
trio was a profitable pivot from the more popular stacks in the Steelers-Falcons
game.In Week 6, one of the league’s top tight ends and a certain defense are
being priced reasonably across daily fantasy platforms and will likely prove to
be popular. If fantasy owners dig a bit deeper, they can find alternatives that
are also enticing.PIVOT: ERIC EBRON TO CAMERON BRATEThus far, the Colts tight
end Ebron leads all tight ends with 12 red zone targets and has scored more
DraftKings fantasy points than any player at the position over the last three
weeks, since teammate Jack Doyle went down. During that span, Ebron has garnered
the third-highest target share of any TE and the second most targets overall.
This week, he faces a Jets defense that ranks 20th against the TE according to
Football Outsiders’ defense-adjusted value over average (DVOA) metric
Max Scharping Jersey 2019 , although they have only allowed 33.4 yards per game to the position.Due to Ebron’s heavy usage, especially down by the goal line, he will
inevitably be popular this week. There’s a strong case for using Tampa Bay’s
Cameron Brate instead.Brate is cheaper across the industry and will be squaring
off against a Falcons team that has been playing in shootouts — nearly 60 total
points have been scored on average in Atlanta’s games. Atlanta has a
high-powered offense and its already mediocre defense lost safety Keanu Neal and
linebacker Deion Jones for the season.The Bucaneers have already switched to
Jameis Winston at quarterback, meaning brighter days should be ahead for Brate
even before factoring in the injury to O.J. Howard. According to Rotoviz, Brate
has averaged 5.21 targets per game, 42.3 yards per game, 3.4 receptions per
game, 0.5 touchdowns per game and 10.7 point-per-reception fantasy points per
game in games where Winston has thrown at least 15 passes. Brate saw less usage
in the five games where Winston did not meet that threshold, due to being
inactive or getting hurt.Even with Howard on the team, Brate ranked 17th among
TEs in red zone target share and 13th at targets at the position last year. With
Howard out of the picture, Brate can reasonably be projected for a similar
market share to Ebron — and Winston has shown an affinity for him. The matchup
is nowhere near as favorable on paper, as the Falcons rank fifth in DVOA versus
the position
Max Scharping Jersey Mens , but they do not have a single linebacker who grades inside the Top 50 at the position in coverage, per Pro Football Focus. The combination
of cheaper price and increased opportunity trumps the supposedly inferior
matchup.PIVOT: TEXANS DEFENSE TO BILLS DEFENSEThe public is undoubtedly going to
have interest in targeting a defense against the lowly Bills offense that has
averaged fewer yards per game than any team other than the Cardinals. Through
five games, the Bills have turned the ball over eight times, and the thought of
J.J. Watt and Jadeveon Clowney getting after Josh Allen is tough to ignore.
Allen has been sacked more than any other QB in the league and his 60.4 QB
rating rates worst of all the 35 qualified signal-callers.Even so, defense is a
tough position to spend up on in daily fantasy because that leads to skimping on
offensive players who possess more upside. The difference between the Texans and
the Bills is the equivalent of the pricing difference between Jarvis Landry and
Julio Jones or even the difference between Nyheim Hines and T.J. Yeldon this
week on DraftKings. There is no need to miss out on a true WR1 or a workhorse
back because of a defense when the Bills legitimately find themselves in an
ideal spot to succeed, too.Houston’s offensive line has allowed a 7.5 percent
pressure rate, the fifth highest in the league, and the Bills convert pressures
into sacks at a league-average 12 percent rate. However, the last time they
faced a bottom-tier offensive line, they sacked Kirk Cousins four times and
forced him to fumble twice.Deshaun Watson is battling a chest injury and a total
has not yet been released for the game likely due to the uncertainty around his
status. Obviously, his absence would enhance the matchup, but even if he were to
play
Youth Max Scharping Jersey , the Bills have yet to allow 300 yards passing in a game and they have played Philip Rivers, Cousins and Rodgers. Since Week 3, Buffalo
has allowed exactly one passing TD versus Cousins, Rodgers and Marcus Mariota
and they have induced eight turnovers over that time frame. PFF grades the
Texans offensive line as the sixth worst run-blocking unit and the Bills
defensive line as the ninth best pass-rushing unit. The Texans have passed the
ball on about 60 percent of their plays in two of the last three games, and
Lamar Miller has been brutal (10th worst Pro Football Focus grade of any back
with at least 50 rushing attempts), so there will be plenty of drop-backs for
the Bills to get after the QB.If needing salary relief, or just simply looking
to be contrarian, look no further than a Bills defense that is greatly
underappreciated due to the poor public perception of the team.
